Why China's population is shrinking
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Data Literacy60%
And why thatโs a big deal.
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For the first time in six decades, Chinaโs population is shrinking, and itโs predicted it could create a demographic crisis. Thatโs because China isnโt just shrinking, itโs also aging. And the majority of Chinese couples are not considering having more than one child. Because of this, China is predicted to lose nearly 50 percent of its population by 2100.
Chinaโs population decline can be traced back to the restrictive family-planning policies launched in the 1970s and an impressive economic boom fueled by Chinaโs huge labor force.
Chinaโs modernization brought rapid urbanization, rising income levels, and better education to large parts of China. Combined, these policies and growth have given China one of the lowest birth rates in the world.
Today, China is trying to reverse its population decline. Not just because an aging population is hard to sustain economically, but because Chinaโs impressive economic growth, until now, has relied on its people. As Chinaโs population challenges deepen over time, it might have to rethink how to grow its economy and care for its citizens.
You can explore Chinaโs birth and death rate data via the United Nations Population portal, here:
https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/MORT/Deaths/156
https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/FERT/Births/156
As well as the countryโs total population and predictions here:
https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/TOT/156
Here are some key facts about Chinaโs declining population from Pew Research:
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/12/05/key-facts-about-chinas-declining-population/
You can read some surprising details about Chinaโs family planning policies โ for example, the One-Child Policy was actually less impactful than the Later, Longer, Fewer campaign โ here: https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/martinwhyte/files/chall
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