Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics
Joseph Carlsmith is a senior research analyst at Open Philanthropy and a doctoral student in philosophy at the University of Oxford.
Learn about Joseph and read his work at: https://www.josephcarlsmith.com/
Podcast website: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/joseph-carlsmith
Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3Qcboq0
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3zrElYb
Follow me: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp
Follow Joseph: https://twitter.com/jkcarlsmith
Timestamps:
00:00:00 Preview
00:00:55 Introduction
00:03:42 How to define a better future?
00:10:08 Utopia
00:26:01 Robin Hanson’s EMs
00:28:24 Human Computational Capacity
00:35:04 FLOPS to emulate human cognition?
00:41:04 Infinite Ethics
01:01:40 SIA vs SSA
01:18:42 Futurism & Unreality
01:24:25 Blogging & Productivity
01:29:32 Book Recommendations
01:30:53 Conclusion
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Rubik's Cube Encryption Demo
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Bryan Caplan - Nurturing Orphaned Ideas, Education, and UBI
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Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity and Probability
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Robin Hanson - The Long View and The Elephant in the Brain
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Caleb Watney - America's Innovation Engine
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Alex Tabarrok - Prizes, Prices, and Public Goods
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Scott Young - Ultralearning, The MIT Challenge
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Scott Aaronson - Quantum Computing, Complexity, and Creativity
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Uncle Bob - The Long Reach of Code, Automating Programming, and Developing Coding Talent
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Michael Huemer - Anarchy, Capitalism, and Progress
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Sarah Fitz-Claridge - Taking Children Seriously | The Lunar Society #15
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Byrne Hobart - Optionality, Stagnation, and Secret Societies
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David Deutsch - AI, America, Fun, & Bayes
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Bryan Caplan - Labor Econ, Poverty, & Mental Illness
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Jimmy Soni - Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and the Paypal Mafia
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Razib Khan - Genomics, Intelligence, and The Church of Science
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Pradyu Prasad - Imperial Japan, the God Emperor, and Militarization in the Modern World
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Manifold Markets Founder - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance
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Ananyo Bhattacharya - John von Neumann, Jewish Genius, and Nuclear War
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Agustin Lebron - Trading, Crypto, and Adverse Selection
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Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, FTX, Altruism, & Leadership
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Alexander Mikaberidze - Napoleon, War, Progress, and Global Order
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Sam Bankman-Fried On FOCUS
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Sam Bankman-Fried on GREAT FOUNDERS
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$30 BILLION Opportunity Ignored by Sam Bankman-Fried Competitors
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Fin Moorhouse - Longtermism, Space, & Entrepreneurship
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Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics
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Will MacAskill - Longtermism, Effective Altruism, History, & Technology
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Steve Hsu - Intelligence, Embryo Selection, & The Future of Humanity
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Austin Vernon - Energy Superabundance, Starship Missiles, & Finding Alpha
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Charles C. Mann - Americas Before Columbus & Scientific Wizardry
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Tyler Cowen - Why Society Will Collapse & Why Sex is Pessimistic
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Bryan Caplan - Feminists, Billionaires, and Demagogues
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Brian Potter - Future of Construction, Ugly Modernism, & Environmental Review
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Kenneth T. Jackson - Robert Moses, Hero of New York?
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Edward Glaeser - Cities, Terrorism, Housing, & Remote Work
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Byrne Hobart - FTX, Drugs, Twitter, Taiwan, & Monasticism
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Nadia Asparouhova — Tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy
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Bethany McLean — Enron, FTX, 2008, Musk, frauds, & visionaries
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Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century
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$30m Grant to OpenAI?
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Does GPT Have Holden Worried?
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Lars Doucet — Progress, poverty, Georgism, & why rent is too damn high
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Deep Learning Changes Everything
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Garett Jones — Immigration, national IQ, & less democracy
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Marc Andreessen — AI, crypto, 1000 Elon Musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution
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Why You Shouldn't Start A Startup
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The Future Of Venture Capital
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The Crucial Skill For A Startup Founder
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Brett Harrison — FTX US former president speaks out
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Nat Friedman (Github CEO) — Reading ancient scrolls, open source, & AI
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Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence
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Impact of Taiwan Invasion on AI
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Reliability is Bottleneck on AI - OpenAI Founder
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Next Token Prediction SOLVES AI Says OpenAI Founder
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Harmful Uses of GPT - OpenAI Founder
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Why OpenAI Founder Thinks AI Is Near
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AI will help us achieve enlightenment - OpenAI Founder
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Eliezer Yudkowsky — Why AI will kill us, aligning LLMs, nature of intelligence, SciFi, & rationality
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Richard Rhodes — The making of the atomic bomb
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Chapters (13)
Preview
0:55
Introduction
3:42
How to define a better future?
10:08
Utopia
26:01
Robin Hanson’s EMs
28:24
Human Computational Capacity
35:04
FLOPS to emulate human cognition?
41:04
Infinite Ethics
1:01:40
SIA vs SSA
1:18:42
Futurism & Unreality
1:24:25
Blogging & Productivity
1:29:32
Book Recommendations
1:30:53
Conclusion
🎓
Tutor Explanation
DeepCamp AI