David Deutsch - AI, America, Fun, & Bayes
David Deutsch is the founder of the field of quantum computing and the author of The Beginning of Infinity and The Fabric of Reality.
Read me Contra David, on AI: https://dwarkeshpatel.com/universal-explainers/
Buy The Beginning of Infinity: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0143121359/
Episode website + Transcript: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/david-deutsch
Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3PZXA1j
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3Q4fmjS
Follow me on Twitter to be notified of future content: https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp
Follow David on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidDeutschOxf
Timestamps:
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Chapters (18)
Will AIs be smarter than humans?
6:30
Are intelligence differences immutable/heritable?
20:08
IQ correlation of twins separated at birth
27:08
Do animals have bounded creativity?
33:28
How powerful can narrow AIs be?
36:55
Could you implant thoughts in VR?
38:45
Can you simulate the whole universe?
41:19
Are some interesting problems insoluble?
44:55
Does America fail Popper's Criterion?
49:57
Does finite matter mean there's no beginning of infinity?
53:12
The Great Stagnation
55:30
Changes in epistemic status is Popperianism
59:25
Open-ended science vs gain of function
1:02:51
Contra Tyler Cowen on civilizational lifespan
1:07:16
Fun criterion
1:14:12
Does AGI through evolution require suffering?
1:17:57
Would David enter the Experience Machine?
1:20:05
(Against) Advice for young people
Playlist
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Rubik's Cube Encryption Demo
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Bryan Caplan - Nurturing Orphaned Ideas, Education, and UBI
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Tyler Cowen - The Great Reset
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Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity and Probability
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Jason Crawford - The Roots of Progress & the History of Technology
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Robin Hanson - The Long View and The Elephant in the Brain
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Caleb Watney - America's Innovation Engine
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Alex Tabarrok - Prizes, Prices, and Public Goods
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Charles Murray - Human Accomplishment and the Future of Liberty | The Lunar Society #10
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Scott Young - Ultralearning, The MIT Challenge
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Scott Aaronson - Quantum Computing, Complexity, and Creativity
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Uncle Bob - The Long Reach of Code, Automating Programming, and Developing Coding Talent
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Michael Huemer - Anarchy, Capitalism, and Progress
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Sarah Fitz-Claridge - Taking Children Seriously | The Lunar Society #15
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David Friedman - Dating Markets, Legal Systems, Bitcoin, and Automation
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Byrne Hobart - Optionality, Stagnation, and Secret Societies
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David Deutsch - AI, America, Fun, & Bayes
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Richard Hanania - Foreign Policy, Fertility, and Experts
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Bryan Caplan - Labor Econ, Poverty, & Mental Illness
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Jimmy Soni - Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and the Paypal Mafia
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Razib Khan - Genomics, Intelligence, and The Church of Science
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Pradyu Prasad - Imperial Japan, the God Emperor, and Militarization in the Modern World
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Manifold Markets Founder - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance
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Ananyo Bhattacharya - John von Neumann, Jewish Genius, and Nuclear War
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Agustin Lebron - Trading, Crypto, and Adverse Selection
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Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, FTX, Altruism, & Leadership
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Alexander Mikaberidze - Napoleon, War, Progress, and Global Order
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Sam Bankman-Fried On FOCUS
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Sam Bankman-Fried on GREAT FOUNDERS
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$30 BILLION Opportunity Ignored by Sam Bankman-Fried Competitors
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Fin Moorhouse - Longtermism, Space, & Entrepreneurship
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Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics
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Will MacAskill - Longtermism, Effective Altruism, History, & Technology
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The US Constitution is Miraculous - Will MacAskill & Dwarkesh Patel
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Will MacAskill - Academia is Insufficient
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Steve Hsu - Intelligence, Embryo Selection, & The Future of Humanity
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Is Gene-Editing EUGENICS?
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Austin Vernon - Energy Superabundance, Starship Missiles, & Finding Alpha
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Charles C. Mann - Americas Before Columbus & Scientific Wizardry
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Can We Handle Exponential Complexity?
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We'll make batteries OUT OF DIRT!
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Rebellion in the Backlands
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Malaria was a Spiritual Event
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Are Future Values UNKNOWN?
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Will AI Become Smarter Than Us?
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Is Intelligence Real?
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Is US Constitution BROKEN?
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Is Growth Finite?
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What is LEFT WING?
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Is Humility Sincere?
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What's Conformist?
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Are SMART drugs a DUMB idea?
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The High School For GENIUSES!!
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Tyler Cowen - Why Society Will Collapse & Why Sex is Pessimistic
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Is Education USEFUL??
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SEX Is The Most PESSIMISTIC Thing
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Effective Altruism Is Attracting GENIUSES!!
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Intellectual Dark Web COLLAPSED!!
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Are Top Athletes GENIUSES?
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Are Great Novelists Unpredictable?!
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DeepCamp AI