Python Tutorial: Fraud detection algorithms in action
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This video is about traditional fraud detection methods versus machine learning models. As a data scientist, you'll often be asked to defend your method of choice, so it is important to understand the intricacies of both methods. You'll also get a refresher on machine learning models to help you with the exercises.
Traditionally, fraud analysts use rules based systems for detection of fraud. For example in the case of credit cards, the analysts might create rules based on a location and block transactions from risky zip codes. They might also create rules to block transactions from cards used too frequently for example in the last 30 minutes.
Some of these rules can be highly efficient at catching fraud, whilst others are not and results in false alarm too often.
A major limitation of rules based systems, is that the thresholds per rule are fixed, and those do not adapt as fraudulent behaviour changes over time. Also, it's very difficult to determine what the right threshold should be.
Second, with a rule you'll get a yes/no outcome, unlike with machine learning where you can get a probability value. With probabilities, you can much better fine tune the outcomes to the amount of cases you want to inspect as a fraud team. Effectively, with a machine learning model you can easily determine how many false positives and false negatives are acceptable, with rules that's much harder.
Rules based system also cannot capture the interaction of features like machine learning models can. So for example suppose the size of a transaction only matters in combination with the frequency, for determining fraudulent transactions. A rules based systems cannot really deal with that.
Machine learning models don't have these limitations. They will adapt to new data,
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