I Coded FVGs — Do They Work?

DeltaTrend Trading · Advanced ·🧠 Large Language Models ·3w ago

About this lesson

Coding every PD array to determine its predictive value | Part 2: Fair Value Gaps. I coded fair value gaps on 5 years of Nasdaq data to see if they actually have any predictive value. 99% of them fill within minutes (which tells you nothing), tapping the gap barely beats random and doesn’t survive costs in any session, and the one entry that actually holds up isn’t what any guru teaches. In this series, we are going to code every one of ICT’s canonical PD arrays to determine its predictive value. It’s become too common and too widely accepted for internet, trading gurus to say that trading confluences “work” without showing any statistical proof of their predictive power. I hope this series will change that, and capture the attention of retail traders who need it. #statistics #education #quant #quantfinance

Original Description

Coding every PD array to determine its predictive value | Part 2: Fair Value Gaps. I coded fair value gaps on 5 years of Nasdaq data to see if they actually have any predictive value. 99% of them fill within minutes (which tells you nothing), tapping the gap barely beats random and doesn’t survive costs in any session, and the one entry that actually holds up isn’t what any guru teaches. In this series, we are going to code every one of ICT’s canonical PD arrays to determine its predictive value. It’s become too common and too widely accepted for internet, trading gurus to say that trading confluences “work” without showing any statistical proof of their predictive power. I hope this series will change that, and capture the attention of retail traders who need it. #statistics #education #quant #quantfinance
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