Predicting Biased Human Decision-Making with Large Language Models in Conversational Settings

📰 ArXiv cs.AI

Learn how large language models can predict biased human decision-making in conversational settings and capture cognitive biases under cognitive load

advanced Published 7 Jul 2026
Action Steps
  1. Run a pre-registered study to collect data on human decision-making in conversational settings
  2. Use large language models to predict biased decision-making and capture cognitive biases
  3. Apply cognitive load to participants and analyze how it affects decision-making
  4. Configure a chatbot to administer decision-making tasks with varying complexity
  5. Test the predictions of the large language models against actual human decision-making data
Who Needs to Know This

Data scientists and AI researchers can benefit from this study to improve their understanding of human decision-making and develop more accurate predictive models. Product managers can also apply these insights to design more effective conversational interfaces

Key Insight

💡 Large language models can capture not only human cognitive biases but also how those effects change under cognitive load

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🤖 Large language models can predict biased human decision-making in conversations! 📊

Key Takeaways

Learn how large language models can predict biased human decision-making in conversational settings and capture cognitive biases under cognitive load

Full Article

Title: Predicting Biased Human Decision-Making with Large Language Models in Conversational Settings

Abstract:
arXiv:2601.11049v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We examine whether large language models (LLMs) can predict biased decision-making in conversational settings, and whether their predictions capture not only human cognitive biases but also how those effects change under cognitive load. In a pre-registered study (N = 1,648), participants completed six classic decision-making tasks via a chatbot with dialogues of varying complexity. Participants exhibited two well-documented cognitive bias
Read full paper → ← Back to Reads

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