Interpretable Deep Learning for Stock Returns: A Consensus-Bottleneck Asset Pricing Model

📰 ArXiv cs.AI

Researchers propose the Consensus-Bottleneck Asset Pricing Model, a deep learning approach that incorporates analyst consensus for interpretable stock return predictions

advanced Published 8 Apr 2026
Action Steps
  1. Integrate aggregate analyst consensus into a deep learning model as a structural bottleneck
  2. Use the bottleneck constraint as an endogenous regularizer to improve out-of-sample predictions
  3. Evaluate the model's performance using relevant metrics, such as mean absolute error or R-squared
  4. Refine the model by incorporating additional features or tweaking hyperparameters
Who Needs to Know This

This research benefits data scientists and quantitative analysts on a team, as it provides a novel approach to predicting stock returns using deep learning and analyst consensus, enabling them to make more informed investment decisions

Key Insight

💡 Incorporating analyst consensus as a bottleneck in a deep learning model can improve interpretability and out-of-sample predictions

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💡 New deep learning model uses analyst consensus to predict stock returns!
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