Forecasting Commencing Enrolments Under Data Sparsity: A Zero-Shot Time Series Foundation Models Framework for Higher Education Planning

📰 ArXiv cs.AI

Learn how to forecast commencing enrolments in higher education using zero-shot Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) under data sparsity, and improve resource allocation planning.

advanced Published 28 Apr 2026
Action Steps
  1. Apply zero-shot Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) to forecast commencing enrolments under data sparsity
  2. Benchmark TSFMs against classical operational baselines using expanding-window evaluation
  3. Configure TSFMs to handle structural shifts in data series
  4. Test the performance of TSFMs using metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE) and mean squared error (MSE)
  5. Compare the results of TSFMs with traditional forecasting methods to evaluate their effectiveness
Who Needs to Know This

Institutional planners and data analysts in higher education can benefit from this framework to inform resource allocation decisions and improve enrolment forecasting accuracy.

Key Insight

💡 Zero-shot TSFMs can provide reliable enrolment forecasts even with limited data, enabling better resource allocation decisions in higher education.

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📊 Improve higher education planning with zero-shot Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) for enrolment forecasting under data sparsity! 📈

Key Takeaways

Learn how to forecast commencing enrolments in higher education using zero-shot Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) under data sparsity, and improve resource allocation planning.

Full Article

Title: Forecasting Commencing Enrolments Under Data Sparsity: A Zero-Shot Time Series Foundation Models Framework for Higher Education Planning

Abstract:
arXiv:2602.12120v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective resource allocation in higher education depends on reliable enrolment forecasts, yet institutional planners frequently face data series disrupted by structural shifts. This paper investigates whether zero-shot Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) can provide rigorous decision support for annual enrolment forecasting under severe data sparsity. We benchmark multiple TSFMs against classical operational baselines using an expanding-wind
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