Explainable Knowledge Tracing via Probabilistic Embeddings and Pattern-based Reasoning

arXiv:2605.09369v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Knowledge Tracing (KT) models students' knowledge states based on learning interactions to predict performance. While deep learning-based KT models have boosted predictive accuracy, most models rely on deterministic vector embeddings and opaque latent state transitions, limiting interpretability regarding how specific past behaviors influence predictions. To address this limitation, we propose Probabilistic Logical Knowledge Tracing (PLKT), an inte