CycloneMAE: A Scalable Multi-Task Learning Model for Global Tropical Cyclone Probabilistic Forecasting

arXiv:2604.12180v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Tropical cyclones (TCs) rank among the most destructive natural hazards, yet their forecasting faces fundamental trade-offs: numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are computationally prohibitive and struggle to leverage historical data, while existing deep learning (DL)-based intelligent models are variable-specific and deterministic, which fail to generalize across different forecasting variables. Here we present CycloneMAE, a scalable multi