PolySwarm: A Multi-Agent Large Language Model Framework for Prediction Market Trading and Latency Arbitrage

arXiv:2604.03888v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents PolySwarm, a novel multi-agent large language model (LLM) framework designed for real-time prediction market trading and latency arbitrage on decentralized platforms such as Polymarket. PolySwarm deploys a swarm of 50 diverse LLM personas that concurrently evaluate binary outcome markets, aggregating individual probability estimates through confidence-weighted Bayesian combination of swarm consensus with market-implied probabili